Forex Trading Software

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Spot Crude Oil Leaps above the $100 Barrier
In early European trading the price of spot crude oil eclipsed the psychological barrier amid global supply concerns and continued violence in Libya. The price of spot crude oil

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Forex day trading and success are a total contradiction in terms – day traders don’t make money. If you want to prove this, just ask anyone selling a day trading system for a real track record – you won’t get one. Why? Let’s take a look.

The Odds

If you want to trade and win you need to be able to take calculated risks when the odds are in your favour and you cannot do this in day trading, as you have no reliable data.

Consider this:

Countless millions of traders all with different opinions trade trillions of dollars per day and to say that you can measure market movement in just a few hours or a day is ridiculous – you can’t.

Prices can and do go anywhere in a day and support and resistance levels are meaningless.

You may as well flip a coin it will be just as effective.

FACT – If you dont have relaible data you will lose over time its 100% certain – PERIOD

BUT I SEE GREAT DAY TRADING RECORDS ALL THE TIME!

Yes you do, but look at the track record and it will say:

“Hypothetical” and you will get a disclaimer.

In case you have never read one – it basically says that the track record is done knowing the closing prices!

Well that’s hard!

Let’s see if I knew tomorrow’s price in advance would I make a lot of money – of course I would. However, you don’t have the luxury of knowing the closing price when you trade though and you will lose.

Claims with No Proof to Back Them Up

I have always maintained that these hypothetical track records should be banned – There of no use at all.

Vendors use them to dupe people into buying forex day trading systems and normally throw in some outrageous headlines as well that never have any facts to back them up.

The vendor wins You Lose

The vendor’s don’t trade these systems (as they know they have no chance of winning) so they sell them to you take your money and you trade and lose.

The Myth & Reality of Forex Day Trading

The myth of making money in forex day trading is perhaps the biggest myth in currency trading – it’s actually a guaranteed way to lose and if you don’t believe me try and find someone who has made money at it.

Get ready for a long search!

Forex day trading is popular but it’s one of the best ways to lose your money. Try and find a day trader with a track record of real gains (not a simulation in hindsight) and you won’t find one. Why? Because:

It doesn’t work.

You will see numerous e-books and forex trading systems advertised all with great copy and a track record – but check the track record disclaimer and you will see that there all done in hindsight.

Here is a standard CFTC disclaimer:

“Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those show”.

Well could you make a profit knowing the closing prices?

Of course you could and so could a child.

The reality though is we don’t have the benefit of trading backwards when we trade forex, we have to trade not knowing the prices and that’s a little more difficult.

So why doesn’t forex day trading work?

Quite simply – all short term volatility is random.

Because of this, support and resistance levels are meaningless and you can never get the odds on your side.

If you think about this its common sense – you have millions of traders all trading with different viewpoints and methods and to say that you can predict what they will do in a few hours, or a day session is ridiculous.

So why are forex day trading systems so popular?

There mostly promoted by marketing companies NOT traders – it makes a good story but so to does Harry Potter but that’s all it is a story.

Forex day trading appeals to lazy or naive traders, who think forex trading is simply a walk in the park – no effort required, spend a few hundred bucks and get rich!

Well forex trading is not that easy and you wouldn’t expect it to be with the huge rewards that can be made.

If you want to trade successfully then you need to get the odds on your side and that means trading longer term meaningful data – not random data where you may as well flip a coin.

Trading success is based upon a logical method that takes into account the odds.

To be successful in life (not just forex trading) accept the fact that no one else will make you rich. Sure you can take advice – but never follow anyone blindly, you need to understand what you are doing and make sure you are trading the odds!

If you don’t, you won’t have confidence. If you don’t have that, you will never make money, as you won’t have the discipline to follow your method through inevitable losing periods, to achieve long term currency trading success.

So the next time you see a day trading system with a simulated track record – think twice before investing in it.

If it has a real time track record over a few years of profits by all means consider it – but if you find one let me know, I have been looking for 25 years and not found one!

If you want trade successfully forget forex day trading, trade the odds and that means using longer term data.